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Prediction for CME (2017-09-06T12:24:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2017-09-06T12:24Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/13013/-1
CME Note: Associated with X9.3 flare from AR 12673.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2017-09-07T22:30Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 8.0
Dst min. in nT: -142
Dst min. time: 2017-09-08T02:00Z

Predicted Arrival Time: 2017-09-08T10:16Z (-4.0h, +4.0h)
Prediction Method: EAM (Effective Acceleration Model)
Prediction Method Note:

% Compiled module: EAM_V2.

CME speed from CACTUS:
06/09/2017 12:24 UT
min V =  106
max V = 1497

Most pr. speed:
V  = 1100
dV =  250

Duration in seconds:        165167.45
Duration in days:        1.9116603

Acceleration of the CME:  -3.24 m/s^2
Velocity of the CME at 1 AU:  636.1 km/s
Expected date and time for the arrival of the CME: 08/09/2017 Time: 10:16 UT

Lead Time: 13.50 hour(s)
Difference: -11.77 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Evangelos Paouris (JHUAPL) on 2017-09-07T09:00Z

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